MLS · MLS CPU Engine

Portland Timbers at San Jose Earthquakes

Configure matchup assumptions, then run a Monte Carlo simulation for projected scores and betting edges.

— Home spread ? Points added to the home team's margin for cover purposes. Negative means home is favored.
3.5 Total ? The sportsbook's posted over/under for combined points/goals/runs in the game.
Guest Your plan

Last Week Intel

Auto-fill sliders from recent stats

Maps L7 team metrics to suggested slider values ? Sharp feature: reads last-week team stats from the database and suggests slider values before you run the sim. . Available on Sharp and Syndicate.

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Simulation controls

Core attack/defense free. Pro adds press & conditions; Sharp adds set pieces & transitions.

Core

Home attack ? Bump home scoring efficiency: drives, shot quality, or offensive play-calling edge.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Away attack ? Bump away scoring efficiency for the visitor.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Home defense ? Tighten home defense — suppresses opponent scoring in the model.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Away defense ? Tighten away defense against the home attack.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Home injury impact ? Negative = key home players out; positive = healthier than expected.
0
-20 Neutral +5
Away injury impact ? Injury impact on the road team — same scale as home.
0
-20 Neutral +5
Home pitch advantage ? Home pitch, travel, and crowd edge.
3
0 Neutral +10

Pro Upgrade

Attack form, press, tempo, and pitch conditions.

Home attack form ? Home attacking form and chance creation.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Pro slider
Away attack form ? Away attacking form.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Pro slider
Home press intensity ? Pressing intensity and defensive pressure.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Pro slider
Away press intensity ? Away press and counter-press.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Pro slider
Match tempo ? Game tempo — faster pace lifts totals and stat volume.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Pro slider
Pitch / weather ? Wind/rain/cold drag on passing and kicking — negative hurts offense.
0
-15 Neutral +5
Unlock Pro slider

Sharp Upgrade

Set pieces, counter threat, discipline.

Fouls & discipline ? Fouls, cards, and game-state chaos.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Sharp slider
Home set pieces ? Set-piece threat (corners, free kicks).
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Sharp slider
Away set pieces ? Away set-piece danger.
0
-20 Neutral +20
Unlock Sharp slider
Home manager ? In-game coaching / scheme edge for the home side.
0
-10 Neutral +10
Unlock Sharp slider
Away manager ? Coaching edge for the visitor.
0
-10 Neutral +10
Unlock Sharp slider
Home counter threat ? Counter-attack and transition threat.
0
-10 Neutral +10
Unlock Sharp slider
Away counter threat ? Visitor explosive-play rate.
0
-10 Neutral +10
Unlock Sharp slider
Plans